2014 Speed Bump 28 – Forte vs. Lacy vs. Peterson Sponsored by RotoEdge (Eric Zakrevsky, a.k.a. “RotoZak”)
Today we reach to the top shelf indeed with three running backs representing the NFC North in very fine fashion indeed between Matt Forte, Eddie Lacy and Adrian Peterson. Someone in your draft will inevitably face this exact decision on draft day as Peterson is the 1.04 pick on average according to ADP at MFL.COM, Forte is the 1.05 pick and Lacy is the 1.08 pick. The probability of getting all 28 polls correct is now at about 1 in 43 Quintillion.
To help us answer, today we are delighted to welcome “RotoZak” Eric Zakrevsky from RotoEdge Sports.
The great Adrian Peterson is no doubt on a crash-course toward first ballot Canton admission, and will likely make a claim for greatest running back in NFL history when’s done. Peterson cracked the 10K mark last year and comes into 2014 with 10,115 yards rushing, good enough for 27th all-time. AP ended 2013 with 1,437 total yards but he is just one season removed from his magical 2012 season with 2,097 rushing yards.
Based on last year statistics, this is an easy winner and it’s Matt Forte who ended with 339.30 fantasy points, good enough for 2nd best in the NFL behind Jamaal Charles. In part with Marc Trestman running the offense last year, Forte finished with a career-best 1,339 rushing yards (more than Peterson or Lacy), a career-best 74 receptions (way more than Peterson or Lacy) and a career-best 12 TDs.
Sometimes winning fantasy football is about getting ahead of the curve and with that context we are giving Eddie Lacy a shot in this poll even though he is consistently selected after Forte and Peterson. Lacy likely plays on the best offense of these three and Lacy outscored Peterson last season. Lacy comes off a monster rookie season with 1,435 total yards, a healthy 35 receptions and 11 trips into the endzone.
GUEST EXPERT ENTRY
Forte vs. Lacy vs. Peterson, RotoZak selects (08/10/14): Eddie Lacy.
At RotoEdge Sports we’ve got Lacy projected to run 1300 yards while receiving 350 and hitting 13 TD’s this season. That’s good for #3 on our list just a head of Forte (4) and Peterson (5).
Why do we like Lacy so much this year you say? Last year Lacy did it all for Green Bay rushing for 1178 yards while receiving 257 yards and finished with a grand total of 11 TD’s. What excites me the most about Lacy is that all those 11 touch downs were done on the ground.
What excites us this year is that he’ll have Rodgers back at the helm and should see more then the 44 targets that he had last year. Defenses will now have to play the pass now instead stacking the box like they did last year while Rodgers was injured. Another issue with Rodgers being out was the fact that Green Bay was playing from behind in most of the games which took the ball out of Lacy’s hands most of the time. Lacy might not crack 300 carries this year but he is in a better situation than he was last year and should at least match if not surpass last years totals which should put him in the top 6 again.
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